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Research Team

EURGBP Rising: Pair Supported by Pound Weakness

The EURGBP is receiving support today amid the continued strengthening of the US dollar. The SFA Index shows that both the EUR and the GBP weakened, but the pound's weakness was more pronounced, pushing the pair up to 0.85900. The pound is currently weaker than the euro

CADCHF Pair SFA Indicator Signal

The CADCHF has entered oversold territory on the H1 chart. The pair has been actively declining since September 14 (excluding the technical surge on September 17). The reasons for this decline are the divergence in the trends of the CAD and the CHF. The CAD was trending downward, while the

US Dollar’s Growth Pauses: Fed Meeting Outcomes and New Macroeconomic Risks for the Week

The past week delivered a strong bullish impulse to the US dollar, raising market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The primary drivers behind the greenback's rally were the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting and robust retail sales data. Investor focus now shifts to

FX Market Review: Past Week's Results

The past week proved to be exceptionally event-driven. The primary market catalysts were central bank interest rate decisions—specifically meetings by the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan—alongside major statistical releases on inflation and consumer activity across leading global economies. The published

USD/JPY surge: are new interventions on the horizon?

The sharp rally in the USD/JPY pair following the BoJ meeting and yesterday's Federal Reserve rate decision indicates a substantial capital flow into carry trades against the yen. An analysis of the yen index (SFA Index) shows that while USD/JPY is already approaching the "red

Dollar Retreats From Channel Top, but Rate Expectations Keep a Lid on the Slide

The U.S. dollar index has pulled back after touching the upper edge of a trading range that has held since 2025, tipping into a local downtrend. Technically, the index now has more room to fall than to rise—but the underlying fundamentals aren't yet strong enough to

Today’s June CPI release to drive USD price action over the next two weeks.

Ahead of Tuesday's CPI release, the dollar carries a hawkish edge after Fed Governor Christopher Waller warned that another hot core reading could push the Fed toward tighter policy. With markets already pricing in a slowdown driven by falling gasoline prices, the setup is asymmetric: a hotter-than-

Brent $70–80: A Stable Range or a Pitstop for Further Downside?

Brent crude has carved out a floor at the $70 mark—a massive retreat from its March peak of $126 per barrel, which was triggered by the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Following the normalization of maritime shipping, the pace of the sell-off has moderated, and the market